It is a Winter of Discontent for the Congress Party. The message from the electorate is loud and clear. "We have had enough of you and your antics. In the name of god, GO". Not since 1977, the party has suffered such a whitewash. What everyone in the Main Stream Media conveniently forgets are the massive victories in Madhya Pradesh, where BJP got 2/3 rd majority in its third term, and Rajastan, where it got more than 75% of the sears and where traditionally the margin of victory is narrow, even during the times of Bhairon Singh Shekhawat, the doyen of Indian Politics. Even in Delhi and Chattisgarh, the Modi effect pulled BJP through in tough fights.
Everyone is going ga-ga over the Aam Aadmi Party. While their performance is quite credible, it has got more to do with the massive anti-congress sentiment in Delhi, post the Commonwealth Games mess, the response or lack of on the Rape Case and finally the ham handed way in which the Congress Government handled the Anna Hazare agitation. Kejriwal benefitted from the Anna Hazare movement, but can he repeat it in the next election, when the curiosity or let us just try feeling withers off. I doubt. If the elections were to be held, couple of years down the line, I have a feeling AAP will not even touch double digits.
The Congress leadership (sic) of the mother and son, has lost all credibility. The crushing defeat will have a fallout that is unimaginable. For one, this will embolden the Andhra MPs and MLAs who will spike the Telengana bill. This will ensure congress losing out in both Seemandhara and in Telengana areas. The former will see Congress as a betrayer, while the latter will see it as a non performer. It is heads I lose, tails you win situation. No one wants to part of a sinking ship. They will jump at the first opportunity. NCP will flex its muscles. Even Nitish will see Congress as a liability. DMK may be forced to align with it in TN because of the TINA factor, but if Yercaud bye election result is any indication, AIADMK is on a strong wicket. With Yeduriappa likely to be back in Karnataka BJP fold, Congress cant expect more than 50% of the seats there. In Kerala it will be thrashed. I just cant see where Congress is to get a substantial chunk of seats in the Parliamentary elections.
The momentum is with Modi. People have seen him, and they have liked what they saw. You can see Regional parties queuing up to join NDA. I will wager a bet now that the expanded NDA will win more than 300 seats in the General Elections? Any takers?
