Thursday, 26 February 2009
Law is an Ass
A recent survey showed that it will take 466 years for ALL the CURRENT CASES in Delhi High Court were to be cleared with the present infrastructure. If this is not bad enough, the worse is yet to come. Once you are lucky enough to have your case being heard, the Delhi High Court takes 4 minutes 55 minutes ( true, only four minutes and 55 seconds) to hear the case and give a verdict. As I said before, the accused can THEN appeal to the supreme court.
What triggered the chain of thought about this ridiculous state of affairs is the recent conviction of an Ex Union Minister, Sukh Ram in a case of possessing disproportionate assets. The case started in 1996 when Sukh Rams house was raided by CBI who recovered Rs 2.45 crores (this was a pretty big amount in 1996) of unaccounted money from his house in Delhi and a further Rs 1.16 crores from his house in Mandi, Himachal Pradesh.
I am reproducing the chronology of events of this case from a newspaper verbatim as it is typical of any case in India,
Following is the chronology of events in the disproportionate assets case against former Union Minister Sukhram:
Aug 16, 1996: CBI recovers Rs 2.45 crore from Sukhram's official residence at 12, Safdarjung Lane here and Rs 1.16 crore from his house in Mandi in Himanchal Pradesh.
Aug 27, 1996: CBI registers FIR against him under the Prevention of Corruption Act.
Sep 18, 1996: CBI arrests Sukhram.
Oct 16, 1996: Sukhram gets bail.
Jun 9, 1997: Chargesheet filed.
Jul 10, 2001: Court frames corruption charges.
Oct 30, 2001: Court starts recording evidence.
Nov 6, 2004: Former PM P V Narasimha Rao records his testimony as a witness in the case.
Apr 13, 2007: Recording of testimony of prosecution witnesses concludes with examination of 64 witnesses.
May 18, 2007: Sukhram answers court queries based on evidence against him.
Jul 20, 2007: Defence starts recording statements of witnesses.
Nov 7, 2008: Sukhram gets 16 witnesses examined in his favour.
Dec 2, 2008: Final arguments start.
Feb 17, 2009: Special CBI Judge V K Maheshwari reserves verdict after the conclusion of final arguments.
Feb 20, 2009: Court convicts Sukhram in the case and says quantum of punishment likely to be pronounced on February 24.
Feb 24, 2009: Court reserves its verdict on the quantum of punishment after CBI seeks the maximum punishment of seven years for the former minister.
Feb 25, 2009: Sukhram sentenced to three years' imprisonment and told to pay a fine of Rs two lakh. Court also orders forfeiture of his disproportionate assets worth Rs 4.25 crore.
If you thought after 13 long years justice has been finally rendered, you are wrong. Sukh Ram who was 69 when he was caught, is 82 years old now. He was granted bail immediately on verdict being pronounced so that he can appeal to the High Court in Delhi. And as per the survey, his case is likely to be disposed off in year AD 2475. Sukhram will be a very young man aged 548 years! And if he gets an adverse verdict then, he can go to the Supreme Court!
Charles Dickens must have been a visionary looking into a crystal glass at India of 2009 when he made the statement "Law is an Ass" in Oliver Twist
Wednesday, 25 February 2009
Gold and Dollar
Historically, Gold has always been found to be a safe bet whenever there is an economic downturn. People have a psychological feeling that the yellow metal is a safe haven in troubled times. And they are correct.
In the current scenario of global financial meltdown, there is hardly any other option available for the investor. He doesnt see much logic in investing in Stock market which is at rock bottom currently, the real estate has been badly hit, banks and financial institutions have lost their credibility and also the interest rates are so low, it doesnt make sense to lock your money in bank savings.
So what is the alternative? Only gold. Apart from the retail investors, the institutional investors are also buying gold in large quantities as they do not trust the valuation of any other asset. Added to this, the oil prices are at a rock bottom. Again traditionally, gold prices are inversely linked to oil prices.
Finally, the production of gold has stagnated during the past few years. Supply constraints and demand increase obviously means rise in prices of gold.
But I guess, we have reached the peak of the curve at least for the time being. You can see some stabilization in the near future at slightly lower prices.
Dollar story is different. Technically, the dollar should have weakened in view of the huge US Treasury deficits and the economic bail out package of $ trillion which is mainly funded by printing dollars. But various countries are flush with dollars and with Euro weakening, these countries are hoarding dollars in the short term as keeping the investment in Dollars has been a comfort zone for many.
But beware. Dollar is fundamentally very weak now. Once these countries see the futility of hoarding dollar (that has resulted in less dollars in circulation) and starts opening up their strings, and once the newly printed notes as bailout package is actually in ciculation 3 months down the line, you will see a sharp crash in dollar's exchange value. With the United States grip over global economy dwindling, it is unlikely that US can browbeat other countries to support their currency. Only thing that is preventing a dollar collapse is the utter mismanagement of Euro and the fact that Yen is also under severe pressure. China and India have a vested interest in keeping the dollar rate artificially high, as they depend extensively on the export income.
My advice - This is the time to sell gold and book the profit. If you have dollar holdings, liquidate them, and stay away from US Dollar in the medium to long term.
Monday, 23 February 2009
Of Poverty in India
I have always been a stringent critique of Congress governments for whom duplicity is a way of life.
The current UPA government, headed by the Congress, came on a platform to serve the 'aam aadmi' in 2004. The Government and the Planning Commission has been screaming from the roof top that the Poverty in India has declined during this regime.
But the data released by Indian Statistical Institute, a Government body, based on a survery, nails this lie fair and square. The findings show that the number of people Below the Poverty Line in India is now 325 million, an increase of 55 million or 20% from its figure of 270 million in 2004.
This means that number of people below the poverty line has increased by 4% per annum, while the population has grown at <>
Is there a vested interest in keeping people poor. Nearly 30% of India's population lives below the Poverty line. Though World Bank defines the poverty line as those who are earning less than $1 a day for India (<>
Not a comforting thought.
Sunday, 22 February 2009
You should have heeded my advice to invest in Gold.
This blog advised you two months ago to invest in Gold. Since that day, Gold prices have appreciated by 41%. Imagine making a return of 41% in two months in these troubled times! Gold is at an all time high. Gold was selling at KD 6.500 per gm in December. Now it is KD 9.500 per gm.
Though indications are that it will increase further, my advice now is to refrain from investing in Gold now. The curve is at its peak.........well, almost.
Saturday, 21 February 2009
Grandmother was more eco friendly than us
My grandfathers house was in an Brahmin agraharam in Kollengode in Palghat District. We had one of the better houses in the Village. 64 houses in two rows, with the Lakshminarayanaswamy temple at one end, the Perumal kovil village even today is vibrant, though the brahmin families are long gone.
The house was almost a closed system. There was a well (though the water was hard) in the compound, the 'rendam kollai' had enough space for couple of mango trees, mehandi tree, vegetables, the inevitable 'keera paathi' ( where a version of palak was cultivated), the cow shed had 3 cows that gave milk (for personal use and as a revenue generating model that enabled my enterprising grandmother to sell milk and laban to neighbours) and cowdung, that was used as a manure for all the trees, there was a 'marthangalikkai' plant, tomatoes, green chillies, ladies finger,......... the list was endless. Then there was the 'nadu muttam' where the roof slanted to give a huge opening. This was meant for rain water harvesting. The rain water that fell on the roof was collected in the sump constructed in the front hall for that purpose. This opening also allowed sun light to illuminate the house. Grandmother used to make 'vattals' (a dried version of vegetables soaked in laban, that when dried can be roasted in oil) and 'Vadaams' (rice pappad). And she used Solar energy to dry them.
I am reminded of all these when modern management gurus talk of Solar energy, rain water harvesting, leading an environmentally friendly life and so on. These were all practiced for centuries by our forefathers as a way of life. In the quest for modernity we disregarded them, only to realize our folly and revert back to them much later paying a very high price.
Are we not reinventing the wheel?
Thursday, 19 February 2009
Round up
Happenings around the world and my take on it,
Monkey cartoon sparks racial row in US - Was Harbhajan in USA of late?
Rush to India, PwC tells global companies - What is left unsaid by Pricewaterhouse Coopers in that report is " and then make us your Auditors, for we shall help you cook up Balance sheets so that you can hoodwink the Indian investors, regulators and government with impunity"
Azharuddin, the former Cricket Captain, who was banned for Match Fixing to join Congress Party - Umm...........birds of a feather flock together.
An enraged pilot reportedly dropped his pants in front of the Airport security staff after losing his cool with the regular security search procedures before the flight - I admire the guy. Of late I myself had wanted to do this, for the security check is a sham and doesnt serve any purpose. It is so suffocating and nonsensical.
Wednesday, 18 February 2009
Words must be filled with beauty and courtesy
How I wish I could be soft spoken and less hurtful of others! (Sigh)
Tuesday, 17 February 2009
Mabrook!
The beginning was modest. They faced many problems on the way. Lack of support from the Kuwaiti sponsor, apathy of students, economic downturn pre 2003 in Kuwait, non availability of good faculty, cash flow problems - the list is endless. But through all these, they stuck to their task and when the turnaround came in 2002, it was a big relief in more ways than one.
Kuwait centre is by far the best organized IGNOU study centre in Middle East (I can vouch for only middle east as I dont know about those in other countries. But IGNOU avers that they are the best amongst ALL overseas study centres in Asia and Africa). I have personal knowledge of the amount of organization that goes into running the centre that has nearly 500 students of both IGNOU and MKU. Having been an NIIT franchisee for 6 years in India, I know the amount of headache one gets while running an education service centre. One can never sleep in peace. That is the bane of services industry. People do not notice the efficiency when things are running smoothly. They take it for granted. But it needs a hell of a lot of effort to make things work seamlessly. Though not many know it, Martin is considered to be the one point knowledge centre for all the other Study Centres in Middle East. They turn to him for advice and leadership.
It is my privilege to have been associated with the Study Center since 2001. The Center has done yeoman service to the expat Indian Community over the years. For the saying goes that "Vidya Dhanam Sarva Dhanal Pradhanam'. The Centre has made many richer in more ways than one, both culturally, monetarily and in many other ways.
I have the honour of having known Martin personally for 8 years and no one deserves the award better than him, for his service orientation, problem solving skills and inter personal skills are excellent. And it is no easy task handling my dear students (they in turn will tell me that it is no easy task to handle ME) , and I can tell this with conviction. Lack of hair in my head and the fact that I am taking 2 BP tablets a day is testimony to it :)
Martin has always been quite supportive of all my hare brained schemes aimed at 'improving' my MBA students. Whenever I despair at the lack of response and about to put a full stop to all co-curricular activities, he will gently point out that I should concentrate only on those who are interested and benefitting of all these events and not to worry about those who dont. Also, he has never interfered in my strict evaluations of any Internal Assignments, though many times he has a difference of opinion to mine. I respect him for that.
Here is wishing Martin and his team many more years of glorious service to the Indians in Kuwait.
Monday, 16 February 2009
Murphy's law in full force
'Anything that can go wrong, will go wrong'
Today is one of those days, when Murphy's law hit me with full force.
So apologies. There wont be any blogging today
Sunday, 15 February 2009
Put your hand up please!
Last but not the least, set apart some time to develop knowledge every day. In today’s knowledge economy your knowledge level alone matters. If you do not upgrade your knowledge on a daily basis, you will be left behind in no time. No amount of degree certificates or working years will help you. Also, keep on honing your soft skills. Apart from the fact that I enjoy teaching, one of the main reason I teach is that it helps me improve my communication skills, sharpen my ability at repartee, makes me think on my feed, helps me explain my thoughts in an organized manner and finally gives me terrific confidence. I have accomplished much, and I can easily sit back and relax. But I push really hard. That is the only way to be ahead in the rat race.
Friday, 13 February 2009
AWOL till Sunday
Wednesday, 11 February 2009
Managing the Expectations
Tuesday, 10 February 2009
Spend recklessly, Print money and consequences be damned
Monday, 9 February 2009
Devil's own Country
Sunday, 8 February 2009
Unbelievable
Even Scums like Ramalingam Raju has apologists defending their actions
At a time when almost 90 per cent of my Satyam friends are cribbing about the fraud and betrayal by (former Satyam chairman) B Ramalinga Raju, I have a slightly different opinion.
I know it is bold of me to write this in black and white, but this comes straight from my heart, and experience.
Saturday, 7 February 2009
Rome was not built in a day
My friend Subramanyam in the 'comments' section of the previous post has raised a question whether the next stage of Indian Premier League (IPL) will attract more TV audience in view of the current economic situation.
It is logical to think that there will be more TV audience for IPL as people do not have any other entertainment option less expensive in these troubled times.
But there is a flip side. People watch cricket as a sort of relaxation. Thus, a guy who has lost a job or is worried stiff about his savings, is not likely to even think about watching IPL.
Also, most of the companies have an unofficial cut on advertisement expenditure. We have seen the main sponsor of Srilankan Cricket Team, Dilmah Tea, turning its back on Cricket sponsorship. Thus the advertisement revenue, on which the entire IPL model is built, will be adversely affected to the tune of 25-35%. Another major source of revenue for the franchisees is the revenue accrued from Merchandising. This is relatively new concept in India. Under the current grim scenario, it is unlikely that spectators shall aggressively invest in merchandising.
Barring 2 franchisees, no one else broke even last year. They are expected to slip further into red after this years action, which doesnt augur well for the future.
But great product concepts, especially Events, are not built over a couple of years. It takes a while, more likely a decade. IPL thus is here to stay.
After all, Rome was not built in a day!
Thursday, 5 February 2009
Why are we like this?
In today's world of Breaking news, peoples attention span on a particulary story is as little as one week. The perpetrators of the crime know this. And they get away with, well literally, murder.
Here is the progress card on some of the recent events;
Mumbai Terror Attack : 82 days since the attack, NOTHING has happened. We have not arrested anyone other than the lone terrorist, the local angle has not been inquired into and no follow up action made. True, the home minister lost his job, PC took over and rushed through some laws. But the ground reality is that nothing has changed. We went to the international community to help us out. Today, there is not a peep from US, the UK foreign secretary came to our country and snubbed us, Pakistan has used the media to make brazen statements and funnily we are now whining saying that Pakistan is not taking action against the perpetrators. This is akin to asking the thief to pronounce himself guilty. And trust me, this is the last we will hear of it.
Satyam Saga: Raju, on advice from his crony the CM of AP Rajasekhara Reddy, got himself arrested and is happy enjoying privileged treatement in the Jails. The government has tried every trick in the books to prevent investigations. First, they allowed all documents to be spirited away, then blocked SEBI from coming anywhere near Raju. Congress rule both the Centre and the State. But there is absolutely no co ordination between the two and no one seems to be too keen to bring out the truth. Government was quick to make arrangements to see that Satyam functions normally, but the same zeal was not noticed in arriving at the truth as to how the money was siphoned off. My take on this is that Raju will come out of bail in a month or so and the whole case will be buried under a web of legal tangle for decades.
Indian Hockey Federation: The ex President KPS Gill and his secretary Jyothikumarans autocratic rule was cited as the reason for all the ills plaguing Indian Hockey. But almost a year since their ouster, being replaced by government nominated worthies, nothing has changed. We are blundering along, and when the team started doing well in the Punjab Gold Cup against opponents like Germany and Holland, Aslam Sher Khan has virtually made the senior coach cry with his negative remarks on the selection policies. And no one is bothered.
And we can add the following to the list,
- The Cash for votes scam during the last Confidence motion,
- The poor lady weightlifter who was falsely accused of doping so that someone else goes to olympics in her place,
- The Malegon blasts and all the other blasts before that
- The charges against the husband of our President, which was such a big issue during her election
- ........................... and many many more.
Why are we like this?
Wednesday, 4 February 2009
"Son, are you homeless?"
I have two silly thoughts,
First, why would any sane man (sigh!) want to kiss 'his wife' (and likewise, a sane woman to kiss 'her husband') in public. A lover, definitely but wife? Hmmmmmmmmmmm. Well, certain people do have a weird sense of masochism.
Second, by the same token, is it alright for a 'married' couple to have sex in full public glare, and will the honourable judges uphold it saying 'since they are married, it is fine for them to do that?"
Hey! That was by way of fun. I am a liberal and believe that the State should interfere as less as possible in an individuals life. And our Police, who cannot catch a real thief or terrorist, are wasting their time on such trivial issues. Even if a passerby is offended, all the Policeman had to do was to tap the husband on the shoulder and ask him "Son, are you homeless?".
Tuesday, 3 February 2009
Global Financial Crisis - Root Cause
The effect of any major event that has a profound influence on the economy is felt only after 3-4 months. What we are witnessing today is the aftershock of what happened in October 2008. We need to wait for another 3 months for the benefits of the bail out packages to trickle down.
However, I am not convinced that the cure will be better than the disease. Putting the same people who have destroyed the economy in charge of the revival package and expecting them to turn around the global financial system by using the very same instruments and processes that brought about the crash in the first place is a no brainer.
People are talking about systemmic failures, and that the blame has to lie with regulators than with individuals. This is ridiculous. Remember the South East Asian crisis and the Russian crisis in the 1990s? The situation was similar. The developed countries then took the high handed approach and preached from the pulpit about the inability of the developing world to manage their economies. They offered free advice, the monetary agencies rubbed their hands in glee, gave money, put stringent conditions and virutally dictated the economic policies of these small countries. Even India faced the brunt of these holier than thou people of IMF, WB and ADB in early 1990's.
Now we dont hear a peep from any of these worthies. They have one set of rules for developing countries and another for the developed. This is called hypocracy.
The root cause of the current crisis lies in the compensation structure of the top executives of the financial institutions. It was one based on hefty incentives and bonuses. To achieve this, they created innovative financial products that did not meet the risk-return criteria in the long run. These products were great in isolation and got great returns to the investors in the short run. However, they did not stand the test of time. The cumulative long term impact of all these products on the system was not factored in. The bubble became bigger and bigger. The executive's bonuses were not based on long term returns but on short term profits. These guys made a fat packet and there was absolutely no accountability built into the system to take care of long term failures. Any system needs checks and balances. But the Auditors and Rating Agencies who were supposed to monitor these companies were being paid for their services by these companies in the first place. How can you expect them to make public shady dealings against their bread winners?
What is laughable is these Companies, which had for years screamed against ANY sort of governmental regulation, running to the government with a begging bowl at the first sign of crisis.
I am made to understand that the very essence of Capitalism is the survival of the fittest and the market demands the fate of a company. Why dont we follow this and allow these companies to die a natural death. It is a myth that the financial system will collapse if these companies were allowed to go bankrupt. We may face some short term difficulties. But then we would have send a clear cut message that performance, ethics alone counts in this world. And that is not a bad thing to bring about accountability in the long run.
Monday, 2 February 2009
Of loo breaks, mobiles, and bits
Some of my MBA students are notorious for taking 'toilet breaks' while writing the term end examination. Last year, I happened to be invigilating a Marketing Specialization examination very tightly when after squirming for a while, one student got up and left for the loo. This was followed by a host of students who suddenly felt the pressure on their bladders. This led me to make an exasperated comment " I never knew going to the loo is a contagious disease". That at least put a stop to the nonsense. What these students were doing in the toilet is anything other than taking a leak. A quick refresher from materials (bits) taken from the 'hidden' sources is a norm than an exception, as also a quick phone call to a friend outside.
But for this to happen in India's Election Commission is bewildering to say the least, as the report below shows,
"Election Commissioner Navin Chawla's excuses and frequent visits to the washroom whenever crucial decisions were taken by the full bench of the Election Commission, is among the instances cited by the Chief Election Commissioner N Gopalaswami in his letter to the President recommending the former's removal.
In the report to the President, the CEC notes that whenever the full bench meeting was seized of an issue, Chawla will make an excuse of going to the washroom. And soon thereafter, invariably, the CEC would get phone calls from top Congress functionaries even as the meeting was in progress. This amounted to interference in the functioning of the Election Commission, the CEC felt".
I would have really laughed but for the seriousness of this allegations. What next? A policy change at the Election Commission in the guideline for the EC saying - "Article 6(5) ; Thou shall not piss during the EC meetings" or better still, "in the event of an emergency bottles will be provided to enable you to piss where you are seated"
Abused words
Some of the words I wish will be banned,
Breaking News - There used to be a sanctity for Breaking News once. The axiom in TV industry was that the normal program should not be interrupted at any cost, unless there is a news of national importance that needs to be broken immediately. Even then, the normal program is cut, and the Breaking News is broadcast as a brief story lasting one minute. But today this word has lost its importance through mindless use. Yesterday the breaking news for NDTV was the Upahar convicts getting bail......... Come on give me a break.
Absolutely - The scenario goes like this. The TV anchor asks the journalist on the field an unimportant question. The journalist HAS to start his/her answer with 'Absolutely'. A sample is as follows; The anchor - " Sreenivas, we heard that Ramalingam Raju did not piss the whole night in the jail yesterday. Is it true?". Sreenivas in reply - "Absolutely, Nidhi. We understand that he didnt drink enough water and hence was unable to piss".......................... you get the gist.
Only - This word is a part of every sentence spoken by every convent educated girl from Kashmir to Kanyakumari. "We have planned a picnic to Bangalore only". "We are only having exams tomorrow, ya". "Did you hear? Dhoni only won the toss". It is so irritating.
Sunday, 1 February 2009
Secret behind Success
Do not ask where the new idea came from or who thought of it first. Ask only one question “How does it work ?”.
There are certain basic universal laws. They do not change. Ignorance of these laws is no excuse. Violation of these laws of forces ends in penalty through under-achievement, frustration and failure.
Success needs action. Action needs initiative. For sustaining success, initiative to collect the experience and feedback is important.
Feedback allows you to take corrective action, which will sustain the success. For every effect, there is a specific cause.
Success is not an accident. Success is not based on chance. Success is not a matter of luck. Success is the result of well thought-out actions.- Arthasasthra by Chanakya
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