Many of my readers have asked me what my take on the current Indo-Pak stand off is. Will there be a war after all?
The likelihood of war, however limited, is nil. The current posturing suits both the countries.
Pakistan needs to whip up the anti-India feelings and military build up to keep US in check. US has been extremely unhappy with Pakistan running with the hare and hunting with the hound. They have been supporting Taliban tacitly while claiming to fight a war on terror with the US. The unholy nexus of Taliban, ISI, Pak Government is a known fact. The US had started asking unpleasant questions and had in fact conducted raids inside Pakistan much to the chagrin of the Pak Army. So a purported tension in the Indo Pak border suits Pakistan to a T.
What about India? India playeds its cards badly post 26/11. The government appeared weak. It was reduced to bleating that Pakistan was behind all the attacks and the world should do the dirty job of reigning in Pakistan which India was loathe to do. It even went to the extend of providing evidence and seeking the support of Saudi Arabia, US and China- 3 countries that tacitly props up the Pakistan. Having made a fool of itself on the dometic and international fronts and having handled the Antulay issue in a dismal manner, the Government suddenly realized that there is a general election round the corner. What better way than to make people forget about the poor handling of economy and not doing any developmental work over five years. Raise the war hysteria, hoping against hope that people will forget the past and focus on the present assumed crisis.
We should have taken out the terrorist camps in Pakistan within 5 days of the Mumbai Attack. Having not had the guts to do so, the current war mongering is a classic cover up operation.
You can fool some people all the time, all the people some time, but you cant fool all the people all the time
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