The Lutyens media and the Congress eco system are trying their best to prop up the Party as an alternative to BJP. But the ground realities are different.
Let us look at the last three elections, and seats won by Congress in 3 States, Andhra Pradesh (United), UP and Maharashtra. Together these 3 States (now 4, as AP has been bifurcated to AP and Telengana) send 170 MPs to the Lok Sabha, which is slightly less than 1/3rd of the Seats.
Year AP Maharashtra UP Total
2004 29 13 9 51
2009 33 17 21 71
2014 2** 2 2 6
** The 2 seats in AP in 2014 is from the bifurcated Telengana, with Congress drawing a blank in AP.
Come 2019, Congress's best case scenario is,
Year AP Maharashtra UP Total
2019 0 2 1 3
Congress is virtually wiped out in erstwhile AP (now AP and Telengana), with BJP and Shiv Sena on alliance in Maharashtra Congress will struggle to get even the 2 seats, and in UP the best case scenario is Sonia retaining Rae Bareilly.
Congress has not made any major inroads in any other State to compensate for this.
As things stand today, Congress will struggle to touch 60, and that too only if they eat humble pie in Bihar and Delhi. I am not sure they will make much headway in MP, Rajasthan and Karnataka. True, BJP almost had a clean sweep in the first two, and this time they will drop seats. But the Congress State Government's performance is nothing to shout about.
This is the reality. The noise you hear on Media is only optics, nothing more.
